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2012 NBA Draft Lottery Odds: New Jersey Nets Have 25.3% Chance Of Keeping Pick

The New Jersey Nets have more reason than most NBA teams to hope for NBA lottery luck: If the Nets' pick is top three, they will keep it. If not, they will be forced to surrender the selection to the Portland Trail Blazers in completion of the Gerald Wallace trade.

Given that the Nets finished the season tied for the fifth-worst record, they have a 25.3 percent chance of landing in the top three. In other words, they have a 25.3 percent chance of keeping their lottery selection in one of the deepest drafts in years.

A table of NBA lottery odds follows, courtesy of the Cleveland Plain-Dealer:

Team W L Win
ave.
No. 1 pick
chance
No. 2 pick
chance
No. 3 pick
chance
Somewhere
in top 3
1 Charlotte 7 59 0.106 25.0% 21.5% 17.8% 64.3%
2 Washington 20 46 0.303 19.9% 18.8% 17.1% 55.8%
3 Cleveland 21 45 0.318 13.8% 14.2% 14.4% 42.4%
(tie) New Orleans 21 45 0.318 13.8% 14.2% 14.4% 42.4%
5 Sacramento 22 44 0.333 7.6% 8.4% 9.4% 25.3%
(tie) New Jersey 22 44 0.333 7.6% 8.4% 9.4% 25.3%
7 Toronto 23 43 0.348 3.6% 4.1% 4.8% 12.5%
(tie) Golden State 23 43 0.348 3.6% 4.1% 4.8% 12.5%
9 Detroit 25 41 0.379 1.7% 2.0% 2.4% 6.1%
10 Minnesota 26 40 0.394 1.1% 1.3% 1.6% 4.0%
11 Portland 28 38 0.424 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 2.9%
12 Milwaukee 31 35 0.470 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 2.5%
13 Phoenix 33 33 0.500 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 2.2%
14 Houston 34 32 0.515 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.8%

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