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2012 Kentucky Derby Picks, Predictions, Expert Analysis

The 138th running of the Kentucky Derby, the first leg of the Triple Crown. Here is a look at some pre-race predictions, opinion and analysis.

Which horse will win 138th Kentucky Derby? -
The 138th running of the Kentucky Derby features one of the deepest fields in recent memory. No less than 10 of the 20 horses have a realistic chance of winning, but some of those will be overlays while others will be underlays based on past performances and post positions.

Regardless of which colt crosses the wire first, the easiest bet to cash might be the one that correctly chooses the horse to finish last. The pick here is the speedster, Trinniberg, a horse that has never run farther than 7 furlongs. Look for him to back up approaching the far turn.

2012 Kentucky Derby: Bodemeister by a Nose - The Washington Post
Before Bodemeister performed so brilliantly in Arkansas, I was planning to pick and bet Daddy Nose Best in the Derby. But as a speed handicapper I have to believe in Bodemeister. I will play trifectas and superfectas using both Bodemeister and Daddy Nose Best in the top spot, with a mix of stretch-running types underneath them. But my key Derby play is a cold exacta: Bodemeister-Daddy Nose Best.

Kentucky Derby: Is Hansen really “The Great White Hope?” - The Early Lead - The Washington Post

Hansen, the reigning 2-year-old champion, may not win the Kentucky Derby on Saturday, but it’ll be nearly impossible not to watch him.

He will be the seemingly white horse in the field of 20, the one whose owner has been known to wear a “Great White Hope” T-shirt and the one Frank Deford calls “a four-legged Steve Martin.”

The Associated Press: 5 horses to watch in Saturday's Kentucky Derby
Here's a look at five 3-year-olds to watch when the starting gate springs open for the most exciting two minutes in sports.

Who Do You Like? Betting the Kentucky Derby - Forbes
For serious players, the field of 20 horses offers the chance to get unusually high odds on horses with a good chance of winning. It also offers a handicapping puzzle: none of the horses will have run at the distance of a mile and a quarter; none has ever run against this many horses; most of them have never raced against each other.

But dedicated handicappers relish the challenge, and here, a few offer their thoughts on the race, wagering plans, and predictions: