Usually I stat off this fantasy football outlook by doing something akin to a "State of the Jets"; a recap of the last game, a look ahead to the importance of the next game or the main storyline, but this week that's pretty easy. The Jets stink. At least at this very moment they do. They should beat the Buffalo Bills on Sunday because the Bills are worse. This should present the Jets an opportunity to put up some big numbers on offense, since the Bills' defense has shown an inability to stop anyone the past three weeks, including this very own Jets offense. But how can you have any confidence in the Jets' offense after what we saw last Thursday night against the Broncos. Here's my advice on who to start and sit from the Jets on your fantasy team this week, but for those you do start, temper your expectations.
WR - Santonio Holmes - numberFire projection: 3.38 receptions, 47.13 yards, 0.22 TDs, 6.07 fantasy points
WR - Plaxico Burress - numberFire projection: 3.08 receptions, 39.68 yards, 0.40 TDs, 6.43 fantasy points
The Jets wide receivers are getting antsy with quarterback Mark Sanchez, that was evident last Thursday night. Because of that I expect Sanchez to try to get both guys in the end zone, and given the Bills' defensive play the last few weeks, I think its possible they both do score. But don't expect big yardage or a great number of catches, because this Jets offense (and Sanchez in particular) is still trying to figure itself out after 10 games.
Jets Defense/Special Teams - numberFire projection: 20.22 points allowed, 2.74 sacks, 2.16 turnovers, 8.95 fantasy points
The Jets bottled up the Bills in their previous meeting in Buffalo, and I would expect a similar output this weekend. The league has seemed to figure the Bills out, thanks to the Jets in some ways for painting that blueprint, and the Bills will be without running back Fred Jackson.
QB - Mark Sanchez - numberFire projection: 20.08 completions, 231.84 yards, 1.18 TDs, 1.22 INTs, 13.23 fantasy points
If you can't do better than Sanchez on your fantasy team, your team is probably in a lot of trouble. This week, I expect the Jets to play very conservatively and hope to get through a game without Sanchez turning the ball over. I don't expect big stats whatsoever.
RB - Shonn Greene - numberFire projection: 10.62 carries, 43.64 yards, 0.18 TDs, 7.34 fantasy points
It's still not entirely clear the shape Greene is in after sustaining a rib injury in the loss to the Broncos. You never have huge expectations from him anyway, and with the injury question, I don't think you can expect much. He NEVER gets in the end zone either, so you can't even count on him to punch in a few short scores.
TE - Dustin Keller - numberFire projection: 3.56 receptions, 41.31 yards, 0.34 TDs, 6.19 fantasy points
I'd sit Keller until he proves he has a pulse.