NFL picks and predictions, Week 10: Giants rebound, Jets fall in a close one

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SB Nation New York's Jared Smith gives his Week 10 NFL picks and predictions.

Finally! The NFL picks and predictions gods are helping me out.

After weeks of just missing out on picks and seemingly feeling like I have no idea what's going on, I broke ground last week going 9-5-0 overall -- a few more extra points here and there, and it would have been a HUGE week.

The result has me close to the .500 mark overall (62-64-5) and put me in good position to make a strong second-half run.

My advice, check out my picks and roll with them.

(All point spreads provided by Oddshark.com and Bovada.)

Indianapolis Colts (5-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-7), Thurs., 8:20 p.m. ET on NFL Network

Point spread: Colts 4-point favorite.
Pick: Colts 24, Jaguars 14
Prediction: At this point, I am all in on Andrew Luck and Indianapolis making the playoffs. I do not feel the same for Jacksonville.

New York Giants (6-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-5), 1 p.m. on FOX

Point spread: Giants 4 1/2-point favorite.
Pick: Giants 27, Bengals 17
Prediction: New York should respond from last week's loss with a solid victory at Cincinnati.

Tennessee Titans (3-6) at Miami Dolphins (4-4), 1 p.m. on CBS

Point spread: Dolphins 6-point favorite.
Pick: Dolphins 21, Titans 20
Prediction: Miami took a step back last week, and despite Tennessee REALLY struggling I like them to keep this one close and cover the point spread.

Detroit Lions (4-4) at Minnesota Vikings (5-4), 1 p.m. on FOX

Point spread: Lions 1-point favorite.
Pick: Lions 34, Vikings 30
Prediction: This could be the last chance for both teams to stay in the playoff race, and with a coin flip I am going with the team with the most talent.

Buffalo Bills (3-5) at New England Patriots (5-3), 1 p.m. on CBS

Point spread: Patriots 11-point favorite.
Pick: Patriots 42, Bills 24
Prediction: I don't know the last time Buffalo won a game in New England. I was like three-years-old or something.

Atlanta Falcons (8-0) at New Orleans Saints (3-5), 1 p.m. on FOX

Point spread: Falcons 3-point favorite.
Pick: Falcons 30, Saints 24
Prediction: We will learn this week if New Orleans will be able to completely turn things around and make a postseason push. I just don't think it happens.

San Diego Chargers (4-4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4), 1 p.m. on CBS

Point spread: Buccaneers 3-point favorite.
Pick: Chargers 24, Buccaneers 23
Prediction: This is an interesting game, and will test the theory of if the NFC is really better than the AFC. In this match up, I don't think it is.

Denver Broncos (5-3) at Carolina Panthers (2-6), 1 p.m. on CBS

Point spread: Broncos 4-point favorite.
Pick: Broncos 35, Panthers 20
Prediction: If there's one thing I've learned this season: don't pick against Peyton Manning. So, I won't.

Oakland Raiders (3-5) at Baltimore Ravens (6-2), 1 p.m. on CBS

Point spread: Ravens 9-point favorite.
Pick: Ravens 40, Raiders 10
Prediction: Baltimore rolls in this one. Trust me.

New York Jets (3-5) at Seattle Seahawks (5-4), 4:05 p.m. on CBS

Point spread: Seahawks 6-point favorite.
Pick: Seahawks 21, Jets 17
Prediction: New York will stay in this one, and should cover the spread, but just don't see them pulling out this one on the road.

Dallas Cowboys (3-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-5), 4:25 p.m. on FOX

Point spread: 1 1/2-point favorite.
Pick: Cowboys 24, Eagles 20
Prediction: This NFC East showdown will be close, however, in the end Philadelphia miscues will decided this one.

St. Louis Rams (3-5) at San Francisco 49ers (6-2), 4:25 p.m. on FOX

Point spread: 49ers 11 1/2-point favorite.
Pick: 49ers 31, Rams 9
Prediction: San Francisco at home against a team that is coming off a disappointing performance.

Houston Texans (7-1) at Chicago Bears (7-1), 8:20 p.m. on NBC

Point spread: Bears 1-point favorite.
Pick: Bears 24, Texans 21
Prediction: What a nice Sunday Night showdown that features two teams with solid defenses. Expect it to be low scoring and the home team pulling off the slim victory.

Kansas City Chiefs (1-7) at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3), 8:30 p.m. on ESPN

Point spread: Steelers 12 1/2-point favorite.
Pick: Steelers 40, Chiefs 17
Prediction: When was the last time Kansas City actually showed up for a game? Think that changes on the road in primetime? Me neither.

Last week's record: 9-5-0. Season record: 62-64-5.

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